Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Aaron Jones or Quinshon Judkins?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.7 vs 12.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Quinshon Judkins (50%).
Aaron Jones outscores Quinshon Judkins 50% of the time; Quinshon Judkins 50%.
RB, MIN at NO
12.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–21 · RB13 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.8 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
RB, CLE at NYJ
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–21 · RB12 this week · Start
Start. Scored 21.6 points last game against a typical 10.6 (trending up).
Side by side
| Aaron Jones | Quinshon Judkins | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7 | Projected points | 12.8 |
| 6.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.1 |
| 20.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 20.8 |
| NO +15% | Matchup | NYJ +27% |
| ~22 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.