Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Aaron Jones Or Blake Corum?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.2 vs 8.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Blake Corum (54%).
Aaron Jones outscores Blake Corum 46% of the time; Blake Corum 54%.
RB, MIN vs BUF
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–12 · RB29 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
RB, LA at WAS
8.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB27 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 13.3 points last game against a typical 6.4 (trending up).
Side by side
| Aaron Jones | Blake Corum | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | Projected points | 8.2 |
| 3.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.9 |
| 11.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.3 |
| BUF +14% | Matchup | WAS +3% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.