Is Chase Brown playing this week?
No injury designationChase Brown has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:48 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
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Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Start. CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Why we say start
- Projected 11.2 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 16.3 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 13.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- JAX vs RBs
- 20% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
26
Height
5'10"
Weight
210 lb
College
Illinois; Western Michigan
Experience
3 seasons
Draft
2023 · Pick #163 (CIN)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 39.0?
Chase Brown's grade sits below the middle because his carries and targets cost the Bengals expected points, even after crediting him for tougher-than-average defenses. Only 3 games and 62 touches are graded, so this is a small sample.
Holding it back
- EPA per touch was -0.127 expected points per play, 32nd of 50 RBs, even after a 0.034 credit for tough defenses.
- Week 2 at HOU, Q4 2nd and 12: right tackle for no gain, costing 1.5 expected points.
- Week 1 vs TB, Q4 2nd and 2: left end for -4 yards, costing 1.5 expected points.
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
-0.083
Success rate
41%
WPA (sum)
-0.16
Opponent adj.
0.034
Plays graded
62
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Rush yds over expected | Yds over exp / att | Vs 8+ in the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -6.3 | -0.40 | 50.0% |
| 2 | -5.9 | -0.29 | 40.0% |
| 3 | +0.8 | +0.06 | 0.0% |
What do these mean?
- Rush yds over expected:
- Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
- Yds over exp / att:
- Rush yards over expected per carry.
- Carries over expected:
- Share of carries that gained more than expected.
- Expected rush yds:
- Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
- Efficiency:
- Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
- Vs 8+ in the box:
- Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
- Time to line:
- Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.