41.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Michael Wilson playing this week?

No injury designation

Michael Wilson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the New York Giants.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
START#15 WR this weekHigh confidence

Start. Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).

Why we say start

  • Projected 9.9 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
  • Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
  • Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
  • Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

9.9

Likely range 4–17: the middle half of outcomes

@ NYG · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
11% more points
Last game snaps
93%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

6'2"

Weight

213 lb

College

Stanford

Experience

3 seasons

Draft

2023 · Pick #94 (AZ)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 41.1?

Wilson's grade is below average mainly because his targets produced only modest expected points per play, even after crediting him for tough defenses. He gets a lot of targets, but they haven't added much. Only 31 targets over 3 games is a small sample.

Holding it back

  • Adjusted EPA per target is +0.137 expected points per play, 37th of 62 WRs.
  • Week 2 vs SEA: a deep left throw on 3rd and 7 was intercepted by Love (-2.8 expected points).
  • Week 2 vs SEA: an incomplete pass on 3rd and 5 cost 1.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.091

Success rate

52%

WPA (sum)

0.13

Opponent adj.

0.047

Plays graded

31

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.9
Cushion
6.7
YAC above exp
-0.6
YAC / rec
2.2
Expected YAC
2.9
Air yards share
41.1%
Intended air yds
9.5
Catch %
58.1%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
11.86.7-0.4
25.55.6+0.6
32.37.1-1.0
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games3118163140.319291%0%41.1

Game log

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GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · SF171189125.98193%0%63.4
Wk 2 · SEA721803.84794%0%12.9
Wk 1 · LAC7556010.66485%0%51.5