23.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Tyler Allgeier playing this week?

No injury designation

Tyler Allgeier has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the New York Giants.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#39 RB this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.6 points, 2.0 behind #32, the last one we'd start.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.6 points, #39 among RBs this week, 2.0 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
  • Upside: NYG's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
  • Averaging 8 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
  • Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
  • No. 2 RB on the depth chart.

Projected points

4.6

Likely range 2–8: the middle half of outcomes

@ NYG · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
36%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

5'10"

Weight

225 lb

College

BYU

Experience

4 seasons

Draft

2022 · Pick #151 (ATL)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 23.0?

The grade is low mainly because he lost expected points on his touches, even after credit for facing tougher-than-average defenses. His success rate and win probability added didn't move it much either way. It's a small sample of 32 touches over 2 games, so a few plays can swing it.

Holding it back

  • EPA per touch was -0.208 expected points per play, 39th of 51 RBs, even after a 0.043 credit for tough defenses.
  • Week 2 vs SEA, 3rd and 1: a left tackle run for -1 yards cost 2.3 expected points.
  • Week 1 vs LAC, Q4 1st and 10: a 2-yard run up the middle cost 1.5 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.286

Success rate

33%

WPA (sum)

-0.13

Opponent adj.

0.043

Plays graded

32

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
-16.4
Yds over exp / att
-0.68
Carries over expected
0.3%
Expected rush yds
86.4
Efficiency
4.58
Vs 8+ in the box
29.2%
Time to line
2.67s
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games247008280017.810753%0%23.0

Game log

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GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · SEA510029003.93264%0%14.2
Wk 1 · LAC1761029009.04459%0%39.5