52.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is T.J. Hockenson playing this week?

No injury designation

T.J. Hockenson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Miami Dolphins.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:36 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#17 TE this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.6 points, 0.0 behind #16, the last one we'd start.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.6 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
  • Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 25% more points to TEs than the league average.
  • Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
  • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

4.6

Likely range 2–8: the middle half of outcomes

vs MIA · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs TEs
25% more points
Last game snaps
85%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

29

Height

6'5"

Weight

248 lb

College

Iowa

Experience

7 seasons

Draft

2019 · Pick #8 (DET)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 52.1?

Hockenson sits right around the middle of qualifying tight ends, and his expected points per target is what keeps him slightly above average. Everything else was close to average. This rests on only 13 targets over 3 games, so it can swing quickly.

Lifting the grade

  • Expected points per target of +0.394 ranks 11th of 24 tight ends, which lifted the grade.
  • Week 1 vs GB, Q3 3rd and 8: a 16-yard touchdown from Wentz down the deep middle, worth +3.1 expected points.
  • Week 2 vs CHI, Q4 2nd and 10: a 19-yard catch from Wentz, worth +1.7 expected points.

Holding it back

  • Week 3 vs TB, Q3 2nd and 11: a deep left incompletion from Murray, costing 0.8 expected points.
  • Week 1 vs GB, Q1 3rd and 17: a 7-yard catch from Murray well short of the sticks, costing 0.8 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.403

Success rate

46%

WPA (sum)

0.12

Opponent adj.

-0.009

Plays graded

13

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.1
Cushion
4.7
YAC above exp
-1.4
YAC / rec
3.8
Expected YAC
5.2
Air yards share
15.2%
Intended air yds
6.9
Catch %
69.2%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games13976122.612973%0%52.1

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · TB421103.15085%0%16.7
Wk 2 · CHI432905.93669%0%82.5
Wk 1 · GB5436113.64366%0%68.8