55.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Saquon Barkley playing this week?

No injury designation

Saquon Barkley has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Los Angeles Rams.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:48 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
START#20 RB this weekHigh confidence

Start. Projected 9.3 points, #20 among RBs this week.

Why we say start

  • Projected 9.3 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
  • Concern: LA's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
  • Averaging 11.3 carries and 2 targets a game.
  • Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

9.3

Likely range 5–15: the middle half of outcomes

vs LA · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 11.9 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs RBs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
72%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

29

Height

6'0"

Weight

233 lb

College

Penn State

Experience

8 seasons

Draft

2018 · Pick #2 (NYG)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 55.0?

Barkley sits just above the middle of the pack because his expected points per touch, adjusted for tough defenses, beat the average back. His success rate and win probability added didn't move the grade much. It's only 40 touches over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per touch of -0.032 ranks 21st of 50, and the grade credits him for facing tougher-than-average defenses.
  • Week 1 vs WAS: a 42-yard run on 3rd and 2 through the right guard, worth +3.3 expected points.
  • Week 3 at CHI: a 14-yard run on 2nd and 4 that went out of bounds at the CHI 1, worth +1.6 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.005

Success rate

38%

WPA (sum)

-0.13

Opponent adj.

0.036

Plays graded

40

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
+37.7
Yds over exp / att
+1.14
Carries over expected
0.5%
Expected rush yds
135.3
Efficiency
3.70
Vs 8+ in the box
14.7%
Time to line
3.09s
WeekRush yds over expectedYds over exp / attVs 8+ in the box
1+26.6+1.906.7%
3+14.7+0.9826.7%
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games341740360021.08753%0%55.0

Game log

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GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · CHI158201-2009.03672%0%68.9
Wk 2 · TEN490111003.01216%0%33.0
Wk 1 · WAS158301-3009.03971%0%43.0