Fantasy Basketball Rankings & Start/Sit Tonight

Thu, Nov 5 Rest of season

Points9-CatDraftKings

All PG SG SF PF C G F

1Stephen CurryA93.0PG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.45.5
28–63 rangeMUST START
Recent form (DraftKings points)
31
34
36
69
52
55
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 46.2 a game this season
Projected line
Min
29
Pts
29.1
Reb
4.1
Ast
4.7
3PM
4.8
Stl
1.2
Blk
0.3
TO
2.3
FG
47%
FT
97%
Game page →
Why we say must start
- Projected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
2Devin BookerB+87.2PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.40.9
24–57 rangeMUST START
Recent form (DraftKings points)
34
63
16
34
37
37
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4
Dashed line: his 36.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
36
Pts
26.6
Reb
3.7
Ast
5.4
3PM
1.6
Stl
0.7
Blk
0.3
TO
2.8
FG
48%
FT
92%
Game page →
Why we say must start
- Projected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
3Brandin PodziemskiA-90.6PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.34.4
19–49 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
32
38
22
44
40
29
10/2310/2610/2810/3011/111/2
Dashed line: his 34.0 a game this season
Projected line
Min
33
Pts
16.9
Reb
5.5
Ast
4.9
3PM
2.4
Stl
1.1
Blk
0.3
TO
1.9
FG
46%
FT
74%
Game page →
Why we say start
- Projected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 76% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
4Davion MitchellB+87.0PG · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 35 minutes (35 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.32.5
18–47 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
29
33
42
29
31
43
29
40
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4
Dashed line: his 34.4 a game this season
Projected line
Min
35
Pts
14.1
Reb
2.0
Ast
8.1
3PM
1.8
Stl
1.4
Blk
0.5
TO
2.4
FG
50%
FT
73%
Game page →
Why we say start
- Projected for 35 minutes (35 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 72% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
5Anthony BlackC+64.7PG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.30.3
16–44 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
36
14
44
40
10/2510/2810/3011/1
Dashed line: his 33.5 a game this season
Projected line
Min
29
Pts
15.4
Reb
4.3
Ast
4.1
3PM
1.9
Stl
1.2
Blk
0.5
TO
2.3
FG
49%
FT
77%
Game page →
Why we say start
- Projected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 50% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
6De'Anthony MeltonC48.2PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.25.0
12–38 rangeFLEX
Recent form (DraftKings points)
7
16
45
13
20
32
40
18
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2
Dashed line: his 23.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
23
Pts
11.7
Reb
4.3
Ast
2.5
3PM
2.3
Stl
1.5
Blk
0.4
TO
1.6
FG
43%
FT
84%
Game page →
Why we say flex
- Projected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 14% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
7Collin GillespieA-92.8PG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 27 minutes (25 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.24.5
12–37 rangeFLEX
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10
34
18
47
12
12
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4
Dashed line: his 22.1 a game this season
Projected line
Min
27
Pts
9.1
Reb
2.9
Ast
4.6
3PM
2.0
Stl
2.2
Blk
0.2
TO
1.9
FG
36%
FT
55%
Game page →
Why we say flex
- Projected for 27 minutes (25 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 37% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
8Brandon WilliamsB79.7PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.18.1
0–32 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
29
9
35
15
16
15
28
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/1
Dashed line: his 21.1 a game this season
Projected line
Min
15
Pts
9.8
Reb
2.4
Ast
2.4
3PM
0.7
Stl
0.8
Blk
0.2
TO
1.4
FG
42%
FT
82%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
9Dru SmithB80.9PG · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (10 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.5.5
0–16 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
5
13
8
1
14
10/2310/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 7.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
6
Pts
2.0
Reb
0.8
Ast
0.9
3PM
0.3
Stl
0.5
Blk
0.1
TO
0.4
FG
44%
FT
77%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (10 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
10Jevon CarterC50.4PG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 8 minutes (18 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.5.5
0–22 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
7
11
13
10/2310/2811/2
Dashed line: his 10.2 a game this season
Projected line
Min
8
Pts
2.5
Reb
0.7
Ast
0.9
3PM
0.6
Stl
0.3
Blk
0.1
TO
0.3
FG
37%
FT
75%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 8 minutes (18 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
11Jamaree BouyeaC-42.3PG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.2.1
0–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
9
4
4
10/2110/2611/4
Dashed line: his 5.2 a game this season
Projected line
Min
2
Pts
1.0
Reb
0.3
Ast
0.3
3PM
0.1
Stl
0.1
Blk
0.1
TO
0.1
FG
49%
FT
73%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
12Pat SpencerC-40.1PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.1.7
0–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
12
2
10/2111/4
Dashed line: his 6.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
2
Pts
0.7
Reb
0.3
Ast
0.3
3PM
0.1
Stl
0.1
Blk
0.0
TO
0.1
FG
43%
FT
75%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
–Jordan GoodwinC+66.8OUTPG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
12
24
22
30
11
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/2
Dashed line: his 19.8 a game this season
Projected line
Min
0
Pts
0.0
Reb
0.0
Ast
0.0
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.0
Blk
0.0
TO
0.0
FG
–
FT
–
Game page →
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
–Jalen SuggsB78.9OUTPG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
20
34
25
10/2110/2310/25
Dashed line: his 26.1 a game this season
Projected line
Min
0
Pts
0.0
Reb
0.0
Ast
0.0
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.0
Blk
0.0
TO
0.0
FG
–
FT
–
Game page →
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →

How we rank

Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.

The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.

We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.