NBA Fantasy · Tonight · 2026-27
Win Tonight. Start The Right Players.
Our own start/sit call for every player in tonight's games, with a projected stat line, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons. For points, 9-category and DraftKings leagues. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Stephen Curry
GS vs MIA
45.5proj
MUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
Shooting guard · #1Devin Booker
PHX vs ORL
40.9proj
MUST STARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Small forward · #1Franz Wagner
ORL @ PHX
41.1proj
MUST STARTProjected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
Power forward · #1Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS
56.4proj
MUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Center · #1Bam Adebayo
MIA @ GS
40.2proj
STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
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Full rankings
- 1Giannis AntetokounmpoA93.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.56.437–76 rangeMUST START
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 57.2 a game this season
Why we say must start
- Projected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 2Franz WagnerB-70.4SF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.41.125–57 rangeMUST START
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 40.1 a game this season
Why we say must start
- Projected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 91% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 3Bam AdebayoA-90.0PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.40.224–56 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 39.1 a game this season
Why we say start
- Projected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 99% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 4Miles BridgesB79.3SF/PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.37.222–53 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 35.9 a game this season
Why we say start
- Projected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 80% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 5Yaxel LendeborgSF/PF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 30 minutes (32 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.35.420–51 rangeSTART
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 38.8 a game this season
Why we say start
- Projected for 30 minutes (32 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 92% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 6Tristan da SilvaC+59.9SF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 30 minutes (29 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.23.511–36 rangeFLEX
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 23.7 a game this season
Why we say flex
- Projected for 30 minutes (29 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 13% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 7Draymond GreenC53.4PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.22.811–35 rangeFLEX
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 20.8 a game this season
Why we say flex
- Projected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 24% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 8Oso IghodaroB-71.8PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 22 minutes (21 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.21.410–33 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 22.2 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 22 minutes (21 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 9Bobby PortisB-72.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 20 minutes (22 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.21.19–33 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 23.7 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 20 minutes (22 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 10Andrew WigginsB80.3SF/PF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 26 minutes (26 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.19.68–31 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 17.8 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 26 minutes (26 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 54% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 11Georges NiangPF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 20 minutes (20 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.16.86–27 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 14.6 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 20 minutes (20 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 12Al HorfordC+61.3PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.12.30–27 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 13.7 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 13Ryan DunnC-38.1SF/PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (13 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.12.03–21 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 12.5 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (13 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 14Nikola JovicD-11.4PF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 8 minutes (12 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.7.10–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 9.1 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 8 minutes (12 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 15Graham IkePF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (11 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.6.70–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2611/111/2Dashed line: his 12.2 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (11 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 16Koa PeatPF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.2.10–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/2611/4Dashed line: his 2.9 a game this season
Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Kristaps PorzingisC+68.0OUTPF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.00–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 40% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Rasheer FlemingF7.2OUTPF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.00–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/26Dashed line: his 4.4 a game this season
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Paolo BancheroB-74.4OUTSF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.00–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
10/2110/23Dashed line: his 45.4 a game this season
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 94% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jonathan IsaacC-35.7OUTPF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.00–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Noah PendaD-11.6OUTPF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.00–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (DraftKings points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
How we rank
Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.
The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.
We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.