Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Sam LaPorta or Tyler Warren?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (13.2 vs 10.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Sam LaPorta (55%).
Sam LaPorta outscores Tyler Warren 55% of the time; Tyler Warren 45%.
TE, DET at ARI
13.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–23 · TE4 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 22.4 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending up).
TE, IND at PIT
10.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · TE5 this week · Must start
Must start. Projected 10.8 points, #5 among TEs this week.
Side by side
| Sam LaPorta | Tyler Warren | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2 | Projected points | 10.8 |
| 4.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.9 |
| 23.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.1 |
| ARI +31% | Matchup | PIT +8% |
| ~30 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.