Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Rico Dowdle or Ty Johnson?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 5.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Rico Dowdle (52%).
Rico Dowdle outscores Ty Johnson 52% of the time; Ty Johnson 48%.
RB, PIT at TB · Questionable — toe injury
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB32 this week · Flex
Flex option if active. Questionable — toe injury.
RB, BUF at LV
5.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB33 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.6 points, 0.4 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Rico Dowdle | Ty Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Projected points | 5.6 |
| 2.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.7 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.1 |
| TB -8% | Matchup | LV +4% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~30 pts |
| Questionable — toe injury | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Rico Dowdle: Questionable — toe injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.