Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Kenny Gainwell or Rico Dowdle?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell has about a 56% chance to outscore Rico Dowdle (projected 7.2 vs 6.0).
Kenny Gainwell outscores Rico Dowdle 56% of the time; Rico Dowdle 44%.
RB, TB vs PIT
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–12 · RB30 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 7.2 points, #30 among RBs this week.
RB, PIT at TB · Questionable — toe injury
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB32 this week · Flex
Flex option if active. Questionable — toe injury.
Why
- Kenny Gainwell is the healthier option.
- Kenny Gainwell projects 1.2 points higher.
- We have more to go on with Kenny Gainwell.
Side by side
| Kenny Gainwell | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | Projected points | 6.0 |
| 3.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.9 |
| 11.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.7 |
| PIT -5% | Matchup | TB -8% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — toe injury |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Rico Dowdle: Questionable — toe injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.