Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Patrick Mahomes Or Tanner McKee?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (13.0 vs 12.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Patrick Mahomes (53%).
Patrick Mahomes outscores Tanner McKee 53% of the time; Tanner McKee 47%.
QB, KC at SEA
13.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–21 · QB19 this week · Bench
Bench. SEA's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
QB, PHI vs DAL
12.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–19 · QB21 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 12.0 points, #21 among QBs this week.
Side by side
| Patrick Mahomes | Tanner McKee | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.0 | Projected points | 12.0 |
| 6.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.2 |
| 20.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.9 |
| SEA -23% | Matchup | DAL +36% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | Medium |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.