Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Marvin Harrison Jr. or Mike Evans?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.9 vs 8.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Mike Evans (51%).
Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores Mike Evans 49% of the time; Mike Evans 51%.
WR, ARI vs DET
7.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR37 this week · Bench
Bench. Wind of 25 mph can hurt the passing game.
WR, SF at SEA
8.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR36 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 12.6 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Mike Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.9 | Projected points | 8.1 |
| 3.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 13.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.9 |
| DET +23% | Matchup | SEA -21% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.