Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Courtland Sutton or Mike Evans?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.8 vs 8.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Mike Evans (51%).
Courtland Sutton outscores Mike Evans 49% of the time; Mike Evans 51%.
WR, DEN at LAC
7.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · WR38 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending down).
WR, SF at SEA
8.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR36 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 12.6 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Courtland Sutton | Mike Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | Projected points | 8.1 |
| 3.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 13.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.9 |
| LAC -6% | Matchup | SEA -21% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.