Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Luther Burden III Or Nico Collins?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.2 vs 12.7). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Nico Collins (51%).
Luther Burden III outscores Nico Collins 49% of the time; Nico Collins 51%.
WR, CHI vs NE
12.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–21 · WR17 this week · Start
Start. Scored 17.5 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
WR, HOU vs NYG
12.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–22 · WR15 this week · Start
Start. HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Luther Burden III | Nico Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2 | Projected points | 12.7 |
| 4.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 5.1 |
| 21.0 | Ceiling (a big day) | 21.8 |
| NE -4% | Matchup | NYG +4% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.