Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Emeka Egbuka Or Luther Burden III?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.0 vs 12.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Luther Burden III (50%).
Emeka Egbuka outscores Luther Burden III 50% of the time; Luther Burden III 50%.
WR, TB at CAR
12.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–21 · WR18 this week · Start
Start. Scored 17.8 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
WR, CHI vs NE
12.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–21 · WR17 this week · Start
Start. Scored 17.5 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Emeka Egbuka | Luther Burden III | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0 | Projected points | 12.2 |
| 4.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.9 |
| 20.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 21.0 |
| CAR -12% | Matchup | NE -4% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.