Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
James Cook or Jaylen Warren?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (15.7 vs 14.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean James Cook (53%).
James Cook outscores Jaylen Warren 53% of the time; Jaylen Warren 47%.
RB, BUF at LA
15.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–26 · RB10 this week · Start
Start. BUF's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
RB, PIT vs IND
14.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–23 · RB11 this week · Start
Start. Projected 14.4 points, #11 among RBs this week.
Side by side
| James Cook | Jaylen Warren | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7 | Projected points | 14.4 |
| 7.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.9 |
| 25.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 23.4 |
| LA -15% | Matchup | IND -2% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.