Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Jameis Winston or Tyler Shough?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.8 vs 14.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Tyler Shough (53%).
Jameis Winston outscores Tyler Shough 47% of the time; Tyler Shough 53%.
QB, NYG vs NO
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–20 · QB17 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 12.8 points, 2.5 behind #12, the last one we'd start.
QB, NO at NYG
14.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–22 · QB16 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored -0.2 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending down).
Side by side
| Jameis Winston | Tyler Shough | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 14.0 |
| 6.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 7.3 |
| 20.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 22.1 |
| NO -9% | Matchup | NYG +11% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.