Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Jameis Winston or Michael Penix Jr.?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.8 vs 12.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jameis Winston (51%).
Jameis Winston outscores Michael Penix Jr. 51% of the time; Michael Penix Jr. 49%.
QB, NYG vs NO
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–20 · QB17 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 12.8 points, 2.5 behind #12, the last one we'd start.
QB, ATL vs CHI
12.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–20 · QB19 this week · Bench
Bench. Wind of 15 mph can hurt the passing game.
Side by side
| Jameis Winston | Michael Penix Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 12.4 |
| 6.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.4 |
| 20.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.5 |
| NO -9% | Matchup | CHI +7% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.