Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Geno Smith Or Jacoby Brissett?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.8 vs 13.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jacoby Brissett (51%).
Geno Smith outscores Jacoby Brissett 49% of the time; Jacoby Brissett 51%.
QB, NYJ at KC
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–20 · QB20 this week · Bench
Bench. KC's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
QB, ARI at SEA
13.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–21 · QB18 this week · Bench
Bench. SEA's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
Side by side
| Geno Smith | Jacoby Brissett | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 13.0 |
| 6.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.8 |
| 20.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 20.5 |
| KC -14% | Matchup | SEA -24% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~16 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.