Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Devaughn Vele or Josh Downs?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.3 vs 8.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Devaughn Vele (50%).
Devaughn Vele outscores Josh Downs 50% of the time; Josh Downs 50%.
WR, NO vs MIN
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR33 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 17.4 points last game against a typical 6 (trending up).
WR, IND at PIT
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR34 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 8.3 points, #34 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| Devaughn Vele | Josh Downs | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | Projected points | 8.3 |
| 3.3 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.3 |
| 14.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.3 |
| MIN -18% | Matchup | PIT +6% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.