Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Devaughn Vele or Keon Coleman?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.3 vs 9.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Keon Coleman (53%).
Devaughn Vele outscores Keon Coleman 47% of the time; Keon Coleman 53%.
WR, NO vs MIN
8.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · WR33 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 17.4 points last game against a typical 6 (trending up).
WR, BUF at LA
9.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 23.6 points last game against a typical 7.3 (trending up).
Side by side
| Devaughn Vele | Keon Coleman | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | Projected points | 9.1 |
| 3.3 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 14.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 15.7 |
| MIN -18% | Matchup | LA 0% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.