Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Daniel Jones or Deshaun Watson?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.8 vs 11.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Daniel Jones (53%).
Daniel Jones outscores Deshaun Watson 53% of the time; Deshaun Watson 47%.
QB, IND vs TEN
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–20 · QB18 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 12.8 points, 2.5 behind #12, the last one we'd start.
QB, CLE vs BAL
11.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–19 · QB20 this week · Bench
Bench. CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Daniel Jones | Deshaun Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 11.9 |
| 6.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.2 |
| 20.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.8 |
| TEN +6% | Matchup | BAL +3% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~18 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.