Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Chase Brown Or Derrick Henry?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (13.3 vs 13.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Chase Brown (50%).
Chase Brown outscores Derrick Henry 50% of the time; Derrick Henry 50%.
RB, CIN at ATL
13.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–22 · RB15 this week · Start
Start. CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
RB, BAL vs JAX
13.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–22 · RB14 this week · Start
Start. Teammates out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
Side by side
| Chase Brown | Derrick Henry | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3 | Projected points | 13.3 |
| 6.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.4 |
| 21.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 21.6 |
| ATL +7% | Matchup | JAX -20% |
| ~28 pts | Team's expected score | ~15 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.