Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Ashton Jeanty Or Derrick Henry?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (14.5 vs 13.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ashton Jeanty (53%).
Ashton Jeanty outscores Derrick Henry 53% of the time; Derrick Henry 47%.
RB, LV at SF
14.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 7–24 · RB12 this week · Start
Start. Projected 14.5 points, #12 among RBs this week.
RB, BAL vs JAX
13.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–22 · RB14 this week · Start
Start. Teammates out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
Side by side
| Ashton Jeanty | Derrick Henry | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | Projected points | 13.3 |
| 7.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.4 |
| 23.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 21.6 |
| SF +6% | Matchup | JAX -20% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~15 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.