Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Carnell Tate Or Germie Bernard?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.8 vs 10.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Germie Bernard (51%).
Carnell Tate outscores Germie Bernard 49% of the time; Germie Bernard 51%.
WR, TEN vs CLE
9.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR27 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 19 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
WR, PIT at NO
10.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR26 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 25.7 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
Side by side
| Carnell Tate | Germie Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8 | Projected points | 10.2 |
| 3.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.1 |
| 16.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.5 |
| CLE -5% | Matchup | NO -6% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.