Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Germie Bernard Or Michael Wilson?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.2 vs 9.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Germie Bernard (53%).
Germie Bernard outscores Michael Wilson 53% of the time; Michael Wilson 47%.
WR, PIT at NO
10.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR26 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 25.7 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
WR, ARI vs DEN
9.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR28 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 9.1 points, #28 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| Germie Bernard | Michael Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2 | Projected points | 9.1 |
| 4.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 17.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 15.7 |
| NO -6% | Matchup | DEN -11% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.