Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Caleb Williams or Daniel Jones?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.8 vs 11.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Caleb Williams (51%).
Caleb Williams outscores Daniel Jones 51% of the time; Daniel Jones 49%.
QB, CHI at GB · Questionable — hamstring injury
11.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–19 · QB23 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — hamstring injury.
QB, IND at PIT
11.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–18 · QB24 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
Side by side
| Caleb Williams | Daniel Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.8 | Projected points | 11.3 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 5.9 |
| 18.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.8 |
| GB -9% | Matchup | PIT +1% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Questionable — hamstring injury | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Caleb Williams: Questionable — hamstring injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.