Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
C.J. Stroud Or Malik Willis?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (15.4 vs 15.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean C.J. Stroud (50%).
C.J. Stroud outscores Malik Willis 50% of the time; Malik Willis 50%.
QB, HOU at LAC
15.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB16 this week · Bench
Bench. LAC's defense has allowed 21% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
QB, MIA vs DET
15.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB17 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 15.2 points, 0.9 behind #12, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| C.J. Stroud | Malik Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4 | Projected points | 15.2 |
| 8.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 7.9 |
| 24.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 24.0 |
| LAC -21% | Matchup | DET +29% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~22 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.