Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Brian Thomas Jr. or Carnell Tate?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.5 vs 7.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Carnell Tate (53%).
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Carnell Tate 47% of the time; Carnell Tate 53%.
WR, JAX vs HOU
6.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–11 · WR44 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 0 points last game against a typical 8.7 (trending down).
WR, TEN at IND
7.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR42 this week · Bench
Bench. TEN's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Carnell Tate | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | Projected points | 7.1 |
| 2.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 11.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.2 |
| HOU +1% | Matchup | IND +10% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.