Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Brian Robinson or David Montgomery?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.0 vs 9.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Brian Robinson (50%).
Brian Robinson outscores David Montgomery 50% of the time; David Montgomery 50%.
RB, ATL vs BAL
9.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–15 · RB23 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 25.7 points last game against a typical 3.3 (trending up).
RB, HOU at TEN
9.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–15 · RB22 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 9.0 points, #22 among RBs this week.
Side by side
| Brian Robinson | David Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.0 | Projected points | 9.0 |
| 4.3 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.3 |
| 14.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.6 |
| BAL 0% | Matchup | TEN -3% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.