Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Aaron Jones Or Breece Hall?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.2 vs 7.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Breece Hall (50%).
Aaron Jones outscores Breece Hall 50% of the time; Breece Hall 50%.
RB, MIN vs BUF
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–12 · RB30 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
RB, NYJ at KC · Questionable — quadriceps injury
7.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–12 · RB29 this week · Flex
Flex option if active. Questionable — quadriceps injury.
Side by side
| Aaron Jones | Breece Hall | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | Projected points | 7.3 |
| 3.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 11.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 11.9 |
| BUF +14% | Matchup | KC -12% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — quadriceps injury |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Breece Hall: Questionable — quadriceps injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.