Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.2 vs 11.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean DeVonta Smith (51%).
A.J. Brown outscores DeVonta Smith 49% of the time; DeVonta Smith 51%.
WR, NE vs NYJ
11.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–19 · WR18 this week · Start
Start. NE's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
WR, PHI vs CAR
11.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–20 · WR16 this week · Start
Start. Projected 11.5 points, #16 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| A.J. Brown | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2 | Projected points | 11.5 |
| 4.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.6 |
| 19.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.8 |
| NYJ -5% | Matchup | CAR -13% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~18 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.