Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
DeVonta Smith or Garrett Wilson?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (11.5 vs 11.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean DeVonta Smith (50%).
DeVonta Smith outscores Garrett Wilson 50% of the time; Garrett Wilson 50%.
WR, PHI vs CAR
11.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–20 · WR14 this week · Start
Start. Projected 11.5 points, #14 among WRs this week.
WR, NYJ at NE
11.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–20 · WR15 this week · Start
Start. Scored 23.4 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending up).
Side by side
| DeVonta Smith | Garrett Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | Projected points | 11.4 |
| 4.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.6 |
| 19.8 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.6 |
| CAR -13% | Matchup | NE -4% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~18 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.