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Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit

DeVonta Smith or Michael Wilson?

Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.

Our call

Too close to call

Too close to call on projections (11.5 vs 10.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean DeVonta Smith (52%).

DeVonta Smith outscores Michael Wilson 52% of the time; Michael Wilson 48%.

DeVonta Smith

WR, PHI vs CAR

11.5 projected PPR points

Likely range 5–20 · WR14 this week · Start

Start. Projected 11.5 points, #14 among WRs this week.

Michael Wilson

WR, ARI at LA

10.8 projected PPR points

Likely range 4–19 · WR16 this week · Start

Start. Projected 10.8 points, #16 among WRs this week.

Side by side

DeVonta Smith Michael Wilson
11.5Projected points10.8
4.6Floor (a bad day)4.3
19.8Ceiling (a big day)18.6
CAR -13%MatchupLA -3%
~18 ptsTeam's expected score~20 pts
HealthyHealthHealthy
SteadyRecent formCold ▼
HighOur confidenceHigh

Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.

Related matchups this week

The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.