31.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Jacory Croskey-Merritt playing this week?

No injury designation

Jacory Croskey-Merritt has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Indianapolis Colts.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
FLEX#26 RB this weekHigh confidence

Flex option. Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).

Why we say flex

  • Projected 8.0 points, #26 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
  • Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
  • Averaging 15.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
  • Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

8.0

Likely range 4–13: the middle half of outcomes

vs IND · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
57%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

25

Height

5'11"

Weight

208 lb

College

Arizona; New Mexico; Alabama State

Experience

1 season

Draft

2025 · Pick #245 (WAS)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 31.0?

His grade is low mainly because his touches have cost the offense expected points, ranking 33rd of 51 running backs. Success rate and win probability added were near average-neutral in effect. Defenses faced were tougher than average, which gave a small credit. The sample is small at 3 games.

Holding it back

  • EPA per touch of -0.138 ranked 33rd of 51 RBs and pulled the grade down.
  • Week 3 vs SEA, 1st and 10: a run right guard lost 3 yards (-1.1 expected points).
  • Week 2 vs DAL, 2nd and 4: a left guard run lost 1 yard (-1.2 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.135

Success rate

32%

WPA (sum)

-0.25

Opponent adj.

0.011

Plays graded

50

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
-56.5
Yds over exp / att
-1.23
Carries over expected
0.2%
Expected rush yds
192.5
Efficiency
4.42
Vs 8+ in the box
2.1%
Time to line
2.82s
WeekRush yds over expectedYds over exp / attVs 8+ in the box
1-8.5-0.536.3%
2-16.6-1.380.0%
3-31.4-1.740.0%
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games471421350023.79948%0%31.0

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · SEA1936017005.33957%0%16.0
Wk 2 · DAL1243015005.82637%0%57.5
Wk 1 · PHI166311-70012.63449%0%69.3