87.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Practice report

Limited in practice — ankle injury

Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)

Is Keon Coleman playing this week?

Limited in practice

No game-day designation has been issued yet. On the official practice report for week 4: Limited in practice, ankle injury.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:36 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • DJ Moore (shoulder), Keon Coleman (ankle) not listed on injury report for Week 4.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

  • Bills designations vs. Patriots, per HC Joe Brady: Questionable: CB Christian Benford, RB Ray Davis Doubtful: DL T.J. Sanders WR Keon Coleman should be “good to go”

    Joe Buscaglia @JoeBuscaglia · 1d ago · View on X

  • Brady: Keon Coleman (ankle) "should" be good to play Week 4.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

Ask StatGrades about Keon Coleman

Ask your own question

Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#49 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.3 points, #49 among WRs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.3 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 3 targets a game.
  • Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

4.3

Likely range 2–7: the middle half of outcomes

vs NE · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

23

Height

6'3"

Weight

215 lb

College

Florida State; Michigan State

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #33 (BUF)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 87.1?

Coleman's grade sits well above average mainly because he produced big value per target, ranking 11th of 89 receivers in adjusted EPA per target. That's driven by explosive plays like his 37-yard catch against the Chargers. With only 10 targets in one graded game, that sample is small enough that a couple of plays can swing the number.

Lifting the grade

  • Adjusted EPA per target of +0.880 ranked 11th of 89, lifting the grade a lot.
  • 37-yard catch and run vs the Chargers in Week 3 (+3.6 expected points).
  • 9-yard catch vs the Lions in Week 4 that also involved an opponent injury (+1.6 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.897

Success rate

70%

WPA (sum)

0.14

Opponent adj.

-0.018

Plays graded

10

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.0
Cushion
5.7
YAC above exp
-1.2
YAC / rec
2.6
Expected YAC
3.8
Air yards share
12.8%
Intended air yds
11.7
Catch %
88.9%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games98101018.111657%2%87.1

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · DET6663012.35574%3%84.1