10.5

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Malik Nabers playing this week?

No injury designation

Malik Nabers has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Arizona Cardinals.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:36 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#45 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.7 points, #45 among WRs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.7 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
  • Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

4.7

Likely range 2–8: the middle half of outcomes

vs ARI · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs WRs
9% more points
Last game snaps
78%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

23

Height

6'0"

Weight

200 lb

College

LSU

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #6 (NYG)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 10.5?

The grade is low mostly because his targets produced very little expected points, ranking 57th of 62 WRs. Only 19 targets over 3 games are graded, so it is a small sample. A strong week 1 against Dallas was followed by two rough games.

Lifting the grade

  • Week 1 vs DAL: Dart's deep left pass to Nabers went for 16 yards (+1.7 expected points).
  • Week 1 vs DAL, Q3: two short middle completions of 13 and 16 yards were each worth +1.5 expected points.

Holding it back

  • EPA per target of -0.338 expected points per play ranked 57th of 62 WRs.
  • Week 2 vs LA: Winston's deep middle pass intended for Nabers was intercepted on 3rd and 7 (-4.6 expected points).
  • Week 3 vs TEN: incomplete short right pass on 3rd and 5 in the fourth quarter (-1.4 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.265

Success rate

42%

WPA (sum)

0.06

Opponent adj.

-0.072

Plays graded

19

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.0
Cushion
7.1
YAC above exp
-0.4
YAC / rec
3.4
Expected YAC
3.7
Air yards share
26.5%
Intended air yds
9.5
Catch %
63.2%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.88.2-0.3
33.86.9-0.3
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games191296021.612968%0%10.5

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · TEN652607.65078%0%3.7
Wk 2 · LA41101.14374%0%0.8
Wk 1 · DAL9669012.93652%0%67.9