64.6

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Isaiah Likely playing this week?

No injury designation

Isaiah Likely has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Arizona Cardinals.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:33 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#18 TE this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.6 points, 0.0 behind #16, the last one we'd start.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.6 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
  • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
  • Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
  • Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

4.6

Likely range 2–8: the middle half of outcomes

vs ARI · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs TEs
36% more points
Last game snaps
84%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

6'4"

Weight

241 lb

College

Coastal Carolina

Experience

4 seasons

Draft

2022 · Pick #139 (BAL)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 64.6?

His grade sits a little above the middle of the pack because no single area stood out. Efficiency, success rate and win probability were all close to average, and the one standout, a 26% target share, made little difference. A big week 1 was followed by two weak games, on only 23 targets over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • Week 1 vs DAL, Q2 2nd and 5: a 15-yard touchdown from Dart, worth +3.0 expected points.
  • Week 1 vs DAL, Q2 3rd and 10: a 19-yard catch from Dart, worth +2.0 expected points.

Holding it back

  • Week 2 vs LA, Q1 2nd and 19: Winston's pass to him fell incomplete, costing 1.0 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs TEN, Q1 1st and 20: another incomplete Winston pass to him, costing 0.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.415

Success rate

61%

WPA (sum)

0.22

Opponent adj.

-0.052

Plays graded

23

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.5
Cushion
4.8
YAC above exp
-0.1
YAC / rec
1.8
Expected YAC
1.9
Air yards share
20.1%
Intended air yds
6.0
Catch %
65.2%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.03.4+0.3
21.84.2-0.1
32.87.9-1.4
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games2315124239.412867%0%64.6

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · TEN521303.35484%0%20.4
Wk 2 · LA1053308.34069%0%22.5
Wk 1 · DAL8878227.83449%0%93.8