Is Brian Robinson playing this week?
No injury designationBrian Robinson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the New Orleans Saints.
Kickoff: Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:38 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
Ask StatGrades about Brian Robinson
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Bench. Projected 4.7 points, 0.7 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #38 among RBs this week, 0.7 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 11 points last game against a typical 2.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 27% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- NO vs RBs
- 8% more points
- Last game snaps
- 27%
All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
27
Height
6'1"
Weight
228 lb
College
Alabama
Experience
4 seasons
Draft
2022 · Pick #98 (WAS)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 87.0?
Robinson's grade is driven by strong value on every touch, ranking 6th of 61 backs in adjusted EPA per play through his first three games. That efficiency carried the grade even though his rushing success rate and win-probability impact were both average. With only 32 touches over three games, this is a small early sample.
Lifting the grade
- EPA per touch ranks 6th of 61 RBs, the main driver of the high grade
- 7-yard touchdown run vs GB in week 3 (+2.0 expected points)
- 12-yard catch-and-run vs CAR in week 2 on 3rd and 7 (+2.0 expected points)
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
0.103
Success rate
43%
WPA (sum)
-0.06
Opponent adj.
-0.013
Plays graded
32
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Rush yds over expected | Yds over exp / att | Vs 8+ in the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | -10.8 | -0.98 | 9.1% |
| 3 | +13.0 | +1.30 | 30.0% |
What do these mean?
- Rush yds over expected:
- Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
- Yds over exp / att:
- Rush yards over expected per carry.
- Carries over expected:
- Share of carries that gained more than expected.
- Expected rush yds:
- Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
- Efficiency:
- Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
- Vs 8+ in the box:
- Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
- Time to line:
- Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.