NBA Fantasy · Tonight · 2026-27
Win Tonight. Start The Right Players.
Our own start/sit call for every player in tonight's games, with a projected stat line, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons. For points, 9-category and DraftKings leagues. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Stephen Curry
GS vs MIA
+6.2value
MUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
Shooting guard · #1Devin Booker
PHX vs ORL
+1.4value
STARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Small forward · #1Miles Bridges
PHX vs ORL
+3.6value
MUST STARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Power forward · #1Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS
+4.9value
MUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Center · #1Bam Adebayo
MIA @ GS
+3.8value
MUST STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Your toolkit
Full rankings
- 1Devin BookerB+87.2PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+1.49-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 36.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 36
- Pts
- 26.6
- Reb
- 3.7
- Ast
- 5.4
- 3PM
- 1.6
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 2.8
- FG
- 48%
- FT
- 92%
PTS +1.6REB -0.7AST +0.8STL -1.0BLK -0.63PM -0.1FG% -0.1FT% +2.1TO -0.7Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 2Brandin PodziemskiA-90.6PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.49-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2310/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 34.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 33
- Pts
- 16.9
- Reb
- 5.5
- Ast
- 4.9
- 3PM
- 2.4
- Stl
- 1.1
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 1.9
- FG
- 46%
- FT
- 74%
PTS +0.1REB +0.1AST +0.6STL +0.1BLK -0.83PM +0.7FG% -0.4FT% -0.4TO +0.4Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 76% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 3Desmond BaneA95.5▲SG/SF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 37 minutes (35 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.19-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 28.9 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 37
- Pts
- 19.3
- Reb
- 4.0
- Ast
- 3.1
- 3PM
- 3.3
- Stl
- 1.1
- Blk
- 0.7
- TO
- 2.9
- FG
- 42%
- FT
- 87%
PTS +0.5REB -0.6AST -0.4STL +0.1BLK +0.73PM +1.4FG% -1.4FT% +0.7TO -0.9Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 37 minutes (35 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Hot: 34.4 a game over his last 5, against 28.9 on the season.
Rostered in 93% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 4Anthony BlackC+64.7PG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-0.19-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2510/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 35.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 29
- Pts
- 15.4
- Reb
- 4.3
- Ast
- 4.1
- 3PM
- 1.9
- Stl
- 1.2
- Blk
- 0.5
- TO
- 2.3
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 77%
PTS -0.1REB -0.4AST +0.1STL +0.4BLK +0.13PM +0.2FG% +0.1FT% -0.2TO -0.2Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 50% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 5De'Anthony MeltonC48.2PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-0.79-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 25.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 23
- Pts
- 11.7
- Reb
- 4.3
- Ast
- 2.5
- 3PM
- 2.3
- Stl
- 1.5
- Blk
- 0.4
- TO
- 1.6
- FG
- 43%
- FT
- 84%
PTS -0.6REB -0.4AST -0.8STL +0.9BLK -0.43PM +0.5FG% -0.8FT% +0.2TO +0.7Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 14% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 6Pelle LarssonB-70.0SG/SF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 30 minutes (30 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.49-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 23.6 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 30
- Pts
- 11.1
- Reb
- 3.4
- Ast
- 3.7
- 3PM
- 0.9
- Stl
- 1.1
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 1.6
- FG
- 47%
- FT
- 88%
PTS -0.7REB -0.8AST -0.1STL -0.0BLK -1.33PM -0.8FG% -0.1FT% +0.7TO +0.8Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 30 minutes (30 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 15% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 7Dillon BrooksD-16.3SG/SF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 31 minutes (31 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 26.8 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 31
- Pts
- 18.3
- Reb
- 4.3
- Ast
- 2.7
- 3PM
- 1.9
- Stl
- 0.9
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 2.1
- FG
- 47%
- FT
- 75%
PTS +0.3REB -0.5AST -0.7STL -0.3BLK -1.23PM +0.2FG% -0.3FT% -0.4TO +0.1Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 31 minutes (31 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 37% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 8Klay ThompsonD+27.4▲SG/SF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 25 minutes (23 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.99-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 21.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 25
- Pts
- 14.6
- Reb
- 2.1
- Ast
- 1.7
- 3PM
- 3.8
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 1.2
- FG
- 44%
- FT
- 85%
PTS -0.2REB -1.4AST -1.2STL -1.8BLK -0.83PM +1.9FG% -0.7FT% +0.1TO +1.3Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 25 minutes (23 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
- Hot: 26.4 a game over his last 5, against 21.3 on the season.
Rostered in 15% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 9Jalen GreenD-12.2SG/SF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 31 minutes (29 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-3.19-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 21.8 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 31
- Pts
- 16.2
- Reb
- 3.9
- Ast
- 3.5
- 3PM
- 1.5
- Stl
- 0.8
- Blk
- 0.8
- TO
- 2.5
- FG
- 41%
- FT
- 70%
PTS +0.0REB -0.6AST -0.2STL -0.6BLK +1.13PM -0.2FG% -1.5FT% -0.7TO -0.4Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 31 minutes (29 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 67% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 10Jase RichardsonC-31.0SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 25 minutes (21 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-4.79-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 14.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 25
- Pts
- 8.1
- Reb
- 2.5
- Ast
- 2.6
- 3PM
- 1.0
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 0.9
- FG
- 41%
- FT
- 76%
PTS -1.2REB -1.2AST -0.7STL -0.9BLK -0.73PM -0.7FG% -0.8FT% -0.1TO +1.7Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 25 minutes (21 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 11Brandon WilliamsB79.7PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 19.4 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 15
- Pts
- 9.8
- Reb
- 2.4
- Ast
- 2.4
- 3PM
- 0.7
- Stl
- 0.8
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 1.4
- FG
- 42%
- FT
- 82%
PTS -0.9REB -1.3AST -0.8STL -0.8BLK -1.03PM -0.9FG% -0.7FT% +0.2TO +1.0Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 12Will RichardC+59.5▼SG/SF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 19 minutes (18 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 10.8 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 19
- Pts
- 5.5
- Reb
- 2.3
- Ast
- 1.1
- 3PM
- 1.0
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 0.6
- FG
- 45%
- FT
- 78%
PTS -1.6REB -1.3AST -1.5STL -0.8BLK -1.13PM -0.7FG% -0.3FT% -0.0TO +2.1Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 19 minutes (18 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Cold: 7.8 a game over his last 5, against 10.8 on the season.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 13Luke KennardA-90.4SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 13 minutes (16 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.99-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 13.8 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 13
- Pts
- 5.5
- Reb
- 1.4
- Ast
- 1.3
- 3PM
- 1.1
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.3
- FG
- 53%
- FT
- 94%
PTS -1.6REB -1.7AST -1.4STL -1.7BLK -1.73PM -0.6FG% +0.3FT% +0.2TO +2.4Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 13 minutes (16 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 14Gary Payton IIB+84.3▲SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (14 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.99-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 8.4 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 14
- Pts
- 5.7
- Reb
- 2.6
- Ast
- 1.0
- 3PM
- 0.5
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.8
- FG
- 50%
- FT
- 68%
PTS -1.5REB -1.2AST -1.6STL -0.9BLK -1.53PM -1.2FG% +0.2FT% -0.1TO +1.8Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (14 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Hot: 9.8 a game over his last 5, against 8.4 on the season.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 15Tim Hardaway Jr.B+85.2SG/SF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-7.19-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 8.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 15
- Pts
- 6.1
- Reb
- 1.4
- Ast
- 0.7
- 3PM
- 1.2
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 0.6
- FG
- 37%
- FT
- 75%
PTS -1.5REB -1.7AST -1.8STL -1.8BLK -0.93PM -0.5FG% -0.8FT% -0.1TO +2.1Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 4% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 16Ryan ConwellSG · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (7 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-8.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 5.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 6
- Pts
- 2.7
- Reb
- 1.0
- Ast
- 0.7
- 3PM
- 0.4
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.3
- FG
- 45%
- FT
- 74%
PTS -2.0REB -1.9AST -1.8STL -1.9BLK -1.63PM -1.3FG% -0.1FT% -0.1TO +2.4Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (7 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 17Pat SpencerC-40.1PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.59-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2111/4Dashed line: his 8.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 2
- Pts
- 0.7
- Reb
- 0.3
- Ast
- 0.3
- 3PM
- 0.1
- Stl
- 0.1
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.1
- FG
- 43%
- FT
- 75%
PTS -2.3REB -2.2AST -2.0STL -2.3BLK -1.83PM -1.5FG% -0.1FT% -0.0TO +2.7Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jimmy Butler IIIA-92.4OUTSG/SF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 29% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Moses MoodyB-73.8OUTSG/SF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jordan GoodwinC+66.8OUTPG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/2Dashed line: his 22.6 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jalen SuggsB78.9OUTPG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/25Dashed line: his 25.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
How we rank
Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.
The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.
We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.