NBA Fantasy · Tonight · 2026-27
Win Tonight. Start The Right Players.
Our own start/sit call for every player in tonight's games, with a projected stat line, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons. For points, 9-category and DraftKings leagues. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Stephen Curry
GS vs MIA
+6.2value
MUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
Shooting guard · #1Devin Booker
PHX vs ORL
+1.4value
STARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Small forward · #1Miles Bridges
PHX vs ORL
+3.6value
MUST STARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Power forward · #1Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS
+4.9value
MUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Center · #1Bam Adebayo
MIA @ GS
+3.8value
MUST STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Your toolkit
Full rankings
- 1Stephen CurryA93.0PG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.+6.29-cat valueMUST START
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 48.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 29
- Pts
- 29.1
- Reb
- 4.1
- Ast
- 4.7
- 3PM
- 4.8
- Stl
- 1.2
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 2.3
- FG
- 47%
- FT
- 97%
PTS +2.0REB -0.5AST +0.4STL +0.3BLK -0.93PM +2.8FG% -0.3FT% +2.6TO -0.2Game page →Why we say must start
- Projected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 2Devin BookerB+87.2PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+1.49-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 36.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 36
- Pts
- 26.6
- Reb
- 3.7
- Ast
- 5.4
- 3PM
- 1.6
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 2.8
- FG
- 48%
- FT
- 92%
PTS +1.6REB -0.7AST +0.8STL -1.0BLK -0.63PM -0.1FG% -0.1FT% +2.1TO -0.7Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 3Davion MitchellB+87.0PG · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 35 minutes (35 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+1.29-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 38.1 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 35
- Pts
- 14.1
- Reb
- 2.0
- Ast
- 8.1
- 3PM
- 1.8
- Stl
- 1.4
- Blk
- 0.5
- TO
- 2.4
- FG
- 50%
- FT
- 73%
PTS -0.3REB -1.4AST +2.3STL +0.7BLK -0.13PM +0.1FG% +0.4FT% -0.2TO -0.3Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 35 minutes (35 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 72% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 4Brandin PodziemskiA-90.6PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.49-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2310/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 34.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 33
- Pts
- 16.9
- Reb
- 5.5
- Ast
- 4.9
- 3PM
- 2.4
- Stl
- 1.1
- Blk
- 0.3
- TO
- 1.9
- FG
- 46%
- FT
- 74%
PTS +0.1REB +0.1AST +0.6STL +0.1BLK -0.83PM +0.7FG% -0.4FT% -0.4TO +0.4Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 33 minutes (34 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 76% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 5Anthony BlackC+64.7PG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-0.19-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2510/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 35.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 29
- Pts
- 15.4
- Reb
- 4.3
- Ast
- 4.1
- 3PM
- 1.9
- Stl
- 1.2
- Blk
- 0.5
- TO
- 2.3
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 77%
PTS -0.1REB -0.4AST +0.1STL +0.4BLK +0.13PM +0.2FG% +0.1FT% -0.2TO -0.2Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 29 minutes (28 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 50% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 6De'Anthony MeltonC48.2PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-0.79-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 25.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 23
- Pts
- 11.7
- Reb
- 4.3
- Ast
- 2.5
- 3PM
- 2.3
- Stl
- 1.5
- Blk
- 0.4
- TO
- 1.6
- FG
- 43%
- FT
- 84%
PTS -0.6REB -0.4AST -0.8STL +0.9BLK -0.43PM +0.5FG% -0.8FT% +0.2TO +0.7Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 23 minutes (23 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 14% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 7Collin GillespieA-92.8▲PG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 27 minutes (25 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-1.79-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 23.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 27
- Pts
- 9.1
- Reb
- 2.9
- Ast
- 4.6
- 3PM
- 2.0
- Stl
- 2.2
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 1.9
- FG
- 36%
- FT
- 55%
PTS -1.0REB -1.0AST +0.4STL +2.5BLK -1.23PM +0.3FG% -1.7FT% -0.5TO +0.4Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 27 minutes (25 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
- Hot: 27.4 a game over his last 5, against 23.5 on the season.
Rostered in 37% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 8Brandon WilliamsB79.7PG/SG · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 19.4 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 15
- Pts
- 9.8
- Reb
- 2.4
- Ast
- 2.4
- 3PM
- 0.7
- Stl
- 0.8
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 1.4
- FG
- 42%
- FT
- 82%
PTS -0.9REB -1.3AST -0.8STL -0.8BLK -1.03PM -0.9FG% -0.7FT% +0.2TO +1.0Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 9Dru SmithB80.9PG · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (10 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-7.99-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2310/2610/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 8.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 6
- Pts
- 2.0
- Reb
- 0.8
- Ast
- 0.9
- 3PM
- 0.3
- Stl
- 0.5
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.4
- FG
- 44%
- FT
- 77%
PTS -2.1REB -1.9AST -1.6STL -1.4BLK -1.63PM -1.4FG% -0.1FT% -0.0TO +2.3Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (10 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 10Jevon CarterC50.4PG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 8 minutes (18 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-8.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2310/2811/2Dashed line: his 10.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 8
- Pts
- 2.5
- Reb
- 0.7
- Ast
- 0.9
- 3PM
- 0.6
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.3
- FG
- 37%
- FT
- 75%
PTS -2.0REB -2.0AST -1.7STL -1.8BLK -1.73PM -1.1FG% -0.4FT% -0.0TO +2.5Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 8 minutes (18 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 11Jamaree BouyeaC-42.3PG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.29-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2611/4Dashed line: his 6.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 2
- Pts
- 1.0
- Reb
- 0.3
- Ast
- 0.3
- 3PM
- 0.1
- Stl
- 0.1
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.1
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 73%
PTS -2.2REB -2.2AST -2.0STL -2.3BLK -1.73PM -1.5FG% +0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.7Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 12Pat SpencerC-40.1PG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.59-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2111/4Dashed line: his 8.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 2
- Pts
- 0.7
- Reb
- 0.3
- Ast
- 0.3
- 3PM
- 0.1
- Stl
- 0.1
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.1
- FG
- 43%
- FT
- 75%
PTS -2.3REB -2.2AST -2.0STL -2.3BLK -1.83PM -1.5FG% -0.1FT% -0.0TO +2.7Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (5 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jordan GoodwinC+66.8OUTPG/SG · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/2Dashed line: his 22.6 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 2% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jalen SuggsB78.9OUTPG/SG · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/25Dashed line: his 25.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
How we rank
Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.
The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.
We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.