NBA Fantasy · Tonight · 2026-27
Win Tonight. Start The Right Players.
Our own start/sit call for every player in tonight's games, with a projected stat line, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons. For points, 9-category and DraftKings leagues. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Stephen Curry
GS vs MIA
+6.2value
MUST STARTProjected for 29 minutes (29 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
Shooting guard · #1Devin Booker
PHX vs ORL
+1.4value
STARTProjected for 36 minutes (35 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Small forward · #1Miles Bridges
PHX vs ORL
+3.6value
MUST STARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Power forward · #1Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS
+4.9value
MUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
Center · #1Bam Adebayo
MIA @ GS
+3.8value
MUST STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
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Full rankings
- 1Giannis AntetokounmpoA93.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+4.99-cat valueMUST START
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 53.6 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 34
- Pts
- 28.8
- Reb
- 12.0
- Ast
- 5.9
- 3PM
- 0.5
- Stl
- 1.1
- Blk
- 1.0
- TO
- 3.8
- FG
- 58%
- FT
- 67%
PTS +1.9REB +2.9AST +1.1STL +0.0BLK +1.63PM -1.1FG% +3.0FT% -2.5TO -2.0Game page →Why we say must start
- Projected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 2Bam AdebayoA-90.0▲PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+3.89-cat valueMUST START
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 40.9 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 33
- Pts
- 19.1
- Reb
- 8.7
- Ast
- 3.5
- 3PM
- 0.9
- Stl
- 2.0
- Blk
- 0.6
- TO
- 2.2
- FG
- 51%
- FT
- 78%
PTS +0.5REB +1.5AST -0.2STL +2.1BLK +0.33PM -0.8FG% +0.7FT% -0.2TO -0.0Game page →Why we say must start
- Projected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
- Hot: 47.2 a game over his last 5, against 40.9 on the season.
Rostered in 99% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 3Miles BridgesB79.3SF/PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+3.69-cat valueMUST START
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 38.2 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 35
- Pts
- 18.6
- Reb
- 7.1
- Ast
- 3.2
- 3PM
- 2.1
- Stl
- 1.3
- Blk
- 0.8
- TO
- 1.1
- FG
- 46%
- FT
- 81%
PTS +0.4REB +0.8AST -0.4STL +0.5BLK +0.93PM +0.4FG% -0.4FT% +0.1TO +1.4Game page →Why we say must start
- Projected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 80% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 4Yaxel LendeborgSF/PF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 30 minutes (32 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.19-cat valueSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 36.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 30
- Pts
- 19.1
- Reb
- 6.5
- Ast
- 3.7
- 3PM
- 2.3
- Stl
- 0.9
- Blk
- 0.5
- TO
- 2.9
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 77%
PTS +0.5REB +0.5AST -0.1STL -0.5BLK -0.03PM +0.6FG% +0.3FT% -0.2TO -0.9Game page →Why we say start
- Projected for 30 minutes (32 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 92% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 5Tristan da SilvaC+59.9SF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 30 minutes (29 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.19-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 24.1 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 30
- Pts
- 13.5
- Reb
- 3.8
- Ast
- 1.8
- 3PM
- 2.8
- Stl
- 0.5
- Blk
- 0.4
- TO
- 1.4
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 55%
PTS -0.4REB -0.6AST -1.2STL -1.3BLK -0.43PM +1.0FG% +0.1FT% -0.4TO +1.1Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 30 minutes (29 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 13% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 6Oso IghodaroB-71.8PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 22 minutes (21 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.29-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 23.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 22
- Pts
- 7.7
- Reb
- 5.3
- Ast
- 3.3
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.5
- Blk
- 0.9
- TO
- 1.7
- FG
- 66%
- FT
- 45%
PTS -1.2REB +0.0AST -0.3STL -1.3BLK +1.33PM -1.6FG% +1.5FT% -1.2TO +0.7Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 22 minutes (21 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 7Bobby PortisB-72.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 20 minutes (22 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.69-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 23.1 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 20
- Pts
- 8.7
- Reb
- 5.9
- Ast
- 1.7
- 3PM
- 1.4
- Stl
- 0.7
- Blk
- 0.4
- TO
- 1.0
- FG
- 44%
- FT
- 76%
PTS -1.1REB +0.3AST -1.2STL -0.8BLK -0.43PM -0.3FG% -0.5FT% -0.0TO +1.5Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 20 minutes (22 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 8Franz WagnerB-70.4SF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat valueFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 33.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 37
- Pts
- 22.0
- Reb
- 6.5
- Ast
- 6.6
- 3PM
- 1.2
- Stl
- 0.9
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 4.0
- FG
- 44%
- FT
- 80%
PTS +0.9REB +0.5AST +1.5STL -0.3BLK -1.53PM -0.5FG% -1.2FT% +0.2TO -2.4Game page →Why we say flex
- Projected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 91% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 9Andrew WigginsB80.3SF/PF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 26 minutes (26 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 18.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 26
- Pts
- 10.2
- Reb
- 3.1
- Ast
- 1.6
- 3PM
- 1.4
- Stl
- 0.8
- Blk
- 0.7
- TO
- 1.3
- FG
- 45%
- FT
- 75%
PTS -0.9REB -1.0AST -1.2STL -0.8BLK +0.73PM -0.3FG% -0.4FT% -0.1TO +1.2Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 26 minutes (26 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 54% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 10Draymond GreenC53.4PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.89-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 20.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 26
- Pts
- 5.2
- Reb
- 5.2
- Ast
- 6.0
- 3PM
- 0.8
- Stl
- 0.8
- Blk
- 0.7
- TO
- 3.0
- FG
- 41%
- FT
- 73%
PTS -1.6REB -0.0AST +1.2STL -0.6BLK +0.83PM -0.9FG% -0.5FT% -0.1TO -1.0Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 24% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 11Al HorfordC+61.3PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-4.89-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/1Dashed line: his 13.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 14
- Pts
- 4.6
- Reb
- 3.1
- Ast
- 1.2
- 3PM
- 1.1
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.6
- TO
- 0.7
- FG
- 42%
- FT
- 63%
PTS -1.7REB -0.9AST -1.5STL -1.7BLK +0.23PM -0.6FG% -0.4FT% -0.1TO +1.9Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 12Ryan DunnC-38.1▲SF/PF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (13 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-4.89-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4Dashed line: his 13.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 14
- Pts
- 4.4
- Reb
- 3.3
- Ast
- 1.0
- 3PM
- 0.6
- Stl
- 0.5
- Blk
- 0.6
- TO
- 0.5
- FG
- 44%
- FT
- 62%
PTS -1.7REB -0.9AST -1.6STL -1.3BLK +0.13PM -1.1FG% -0.2FT% -0.3TO +2.2Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (13 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
- Hot: 15.4 a game over his last 5, against 13.3 on the season.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 13Georges Niang▲PF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 20 minutes (20 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.09-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2Dashed line: his 13.6 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 20
- Pts
- 8.3
- Reb
- 3.3
- Ast
- 1.8
- 3PM
- 1.2
- Stl
- 0.6
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 1.3
- FG
- 45%
- FT
- 77%
PTS -1.2REB -0.9AST -1.1STL -1.0BLK -1.13PM -0.5FG% -0.3FT% -0.0TO +1.1Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 20 minutes (20 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Hot: 17.0 a game over his last 5, against 13.6 on the season.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 14Graham IkePF · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (11 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-7.59-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2611/111/2Dashed line: his 12.8 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 6
- Pts
- 3.3
- Reb
- 1.4
- Ast
- 0.6
- 3PM
- 0.4
- Stl
- 0.2
- Blk
- 0.1
- TO
- 0.3
- FG
- 49%
- FT
- 81%
PTS -1.9REB -1.7AST -1.8STL -1.9BLK -1.53PM -1.2FG% +0.1FT% +0.0TO +2.4Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (11 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 15Nikola JovicD-11.4PF · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 8 minutes (12 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-8.19-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2310/2410/2810/3011/2Dashed line: his 8.3 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 8
- Pts
- 2.8
- Reb
- 1.8
- Ast
- 0.9
- 3PM
- 0.3
- Stl
- 0.3
- Blk
- 0.2
- TO
- 0.6
- FG
- 37%
- FT
- 71%
PTS -2.0REB -1.5AST -1.7STL -1.8BLK -1.23PM -1.3FG% -0.5FT% -0.1TO +2.1Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 8 minutes (12 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- 16Koa PeatPF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.39-cat valueBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/2611/4Dashed line: his 2.7 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 2
- Pts
- 1.1
- Reb
- 0.4
- Ast
- 0.2
- 3PM
- 0.1
- Stl
- 0.1
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.1
- FG
- 48%
- FT
- 80%
PTS -2.2REB -2.1AST -2.0STL -2.3BLK -1.73PM -1.5FG% +0.0FT% +0.0TO +2.7Game page →Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Kristaps PorzingisC+68.0OUTPF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 40% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Rasheer FlemingF7.2OUTPF · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/26Dashed line: his 2.5 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Paolo BancheroB-74.4OUTSF/PF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
10/2110/23Dashed line: his 45.0 a game this season
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 94% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Jonathan IsaacC-35.7OUTPF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
- –Noah PendaD-11.6OUTPF · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat valueOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
- Min
- 0
- Pts
- 0.0
- Reb
- 0.0
- Ast
- 0.0
- 3PM
- 0.0
- Stl
- 0.0
- Blk
- 0.0
- TO
- 0.0
- FG
- –
- FT
- –
PTS -2.4REB -2.3AST -2.2STL -2.5BLK -1.93PM -1.6FG% -0.0FT% -0.0TO +2.8Game page →Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
How we rank
Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.
The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.
We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.