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NBA Fantasy · Tonight · 2026-27

Win Tonight. Start The Right Players.

Our own start/sit call for every player in tonight's games, with a projected stat line, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons. For points, 9-category and DraftKings leagues. How we rank

53players ranked4must starts2games tonight11ruled out

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Points9-CatDraftKings
  1. 1MIAGiannis AntetokounmpoA93.6PF/C · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 34 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+4.99-cat value
  2. 2MIABam AdebayoA-90.0▲PF/C · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 33 minutes (33 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+3.89-cat value
  3. 3PHXMiles BridgesB79.3SF/PF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 35 minutes (33 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.+3.69-cat value
  4. 4GSYaxel LendeborgSF/PF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 30 minutes (32 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.19-cat value
  5. 5ORLDesmond BaneA95.5▲SG/SF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 37 minutes (35 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.+0.19-cat value
  6. 6ORLTristan da SilvaC+59.9SF/PF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 30 minutes (29 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.19-cat value
  7. 7PHXOso IghodaroB-71.8PF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 22 minutes (21 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.29-cat value
  8. 8MIAPelle LarssonB-70.0SG/SF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 30 minutes (30 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.49-cat value
  9. 9MIABobby PortisB-72.6PF/C · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 20 minutes (22 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.69-cat value
  10. 10PHXDillon BrooksD-16.3SG/SF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 31 minutes (31 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat value
  11. 11ORLFranz WagnerB-70.4SF/PF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 37 minutes (36 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat value
  12. 12MIAAndrew WigginsB80.3SF/PF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 26 minutes (26 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.79-cat value
  13. 13GSDraymond GreenC53.4PF/C · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.89-cat value
  14. 14MIAKlay ThompsonD+27.4▲SG/SF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 25 minutes (23 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-2.99-cat value
  15. 15PHXJalen GreenD-12.2SG/SF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 31 minutes (29 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-3.19-cat value
  16. 16GSAl HorfordC+61.3PF/C · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-4.89-cat value
  17. 17PHXRyan DunnC-38.1▲SF/PF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (13 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-4.89-cat value
  18. 18GSGeorges Niang▲PF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 20 minutes (20 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.09-cat value
  19. 19GSWill RichardC+59.5▼SG/SF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 19 minutes (18 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-5.29-cat value
  20. 20ORLJamal CainC-37.1▲SF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 18 minutes (16 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.-6.69-cat value
  21. 21MIATim Hardaway Jr.B+85.2SG/SF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 15 minutes (17 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-7.19-cat value
  22. 22GSGraham IkePF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (11 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.-7.59-cat value
  23. 23MIANikola JovicD-11.4PF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 8 minutes (12 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-8.19-cat value
  24. 24PHXKoa PeatPF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (4 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.39-cat value
  25. 25MIASimone FontecchioC51.0SF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (3 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.59-cat value
  26. 26MIAMyron GardnerC-39.5SF · MIA@GSGS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 1 minutes (2 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.-9.59-cat value
  27. –GSJimmy Butler IIIA-92.4OUTSG/SF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  28. –GSMoses MoodyB-73.8OUTSG/SF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  29. –GSKristaps PorzingisC+68.0OUTPF/C · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  30. –GSGui SantosC+63.5OUTSF · GSvsMIAMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  31. –PHXRasheer FlemingF7.2OUTPF · PHXvsORLORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  32. –ORLPaolo BancheroB-74.4OUTSF/PF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  33. –ORLJonathan IsaacC-35.7OUTPF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value
  34. –ORLNoah PendaD-11.6OUTPF · ORL@PHXPHX· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.-10.09-cat value

How we rank

Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.

The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.

We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.