Fantasy Basketball Rankings & Start/Sit Tonight

Thu, Nov 5 Rest of season

Points9-CatDraftKings

All PG SG SF PF C G F

1Giannis AntetokounmpoA93.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETMUST STARTProjected for 32 minutes (32 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.52.0
34–70 rangeMUST START
Recent form (fantasy points)
43
66
19
58
53
77
52
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 52.6 a game this season
Projected line
Min
32
Pts
28.4
Reb
11.5
Ast
5.8
3PM
0.6
Stl
1.0
Blk
0.8
TO
3.7
FG
60%
FT
64%
Game page →
Why we say must start
- Projected for 32 minutes (32 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 100% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
2Bam AdebayoA-90.0PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 32 minutes (31 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.38.1
22–54 rangeSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
38
18
35
30
44
58
42
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 37.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
32
Pts
17.3
Reb
8.5
Ast
3.4
3PM
0.9
Stl
2.0
Blk
0.7
TO
2.3
FG
48%
FT
78%
Game page →
Why we say start
- Projected for 32 minutes (31 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 99% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
3Wendell Carter Jr.B-73.0▼C · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETSTARTProjected for 34 minutes (32 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.28.9
15–42 rangeSTART
Recent form (fantasy points)
40
45
26
16
34
16
18
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2
Dashed line: his 27.9 a game this season
Projected line
Min
34
Pts
13.2
Reb
9.1
Ast
1.4
3PM
0.9
Stl
1.1
Blk
0.5
TO
1.9
FG
58%
FT
80%
Game page →
Why we say start
- Projected for 34 minutes (32 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Cold: 22.0 a game over his last 5, against 27.9 on the season.
Rostered in 52% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
4Draymond GreenC53.4PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETFLEXProjected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.22.4
10–34 rangeFLEX
Recent form (fantasy points)
20
17
12
24
37
14
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 20.7 a game this season
Projected line
Min
26
Pts
5.2
Reb
5.2
Ast
6.0
3PM
0.8
Stl
0.8
Blk
0.7
TO
3.0
FG
41%
FT
73%
Game page →
Why we say flex
- Projected for 26 minutes (27 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 24% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
5Bobby PortisB-72.6PF/C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 21 minutes (22 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.21.8
10–34 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
19
28
27
25
38
16
8
10/2110/2310/2410/2610/2810/3011/2
Dashed line: his 23.0 a game this season
Projected line
Min
21
Pts
9.6
Reb
5.9
Ast
1.6
3PM
1.6
Stl
0.8
Blk
0.5
TO
1.1
FG
45%
FT
78%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 21 minutes (22 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 17% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
6Khaman MaluachD-15.3C · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 18 minutes (20 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.17.8
7–29 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
12
32
21
13
15
19
10/2110/2410/2610/3011/211/4
Dashed line: his 18.7 a game this season
Projected line
Min
18
Pts
6.8
Reb
5.6
Ast
0.9
3PM
0.3
Stl
0.4
Blk
1.1
TO
1.3
FG
54%
FT
72%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 18 minutes (20 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 5% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
7Charles BasseyC-31.4C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 10 minutes (12 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.13.4
0–29 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
26
0
0
14
28
30
10/2410/2610/2810/3011/111/2
Dashed line: his 16.3 a game this season
Projected line
Min
10
Pts
5.5
Reb
3.7
Ast
0.7
3PM
0.1
Stl
0.2
Blk
0.6
TO
0.5
FG
60%
FT
77%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 10 minutes (12 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
8Al HorfordC+61.3PF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far). MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.12.7
0–28 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
7
16
20
20
0
17
10/2110/2310/2610/2810/3011/1
Dashed line: his 13.3 a game this season
Projected line
Min
14
Pts
4.6
Reb
3.1
Ast
1.2
3PM
1.1
Stl
0.3
Blk
0.6
TO
0.7
FG
42%
FT
63%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 14 minutes (19 a game so far).
- MIA gives up 11% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Gui Santos is out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
9Nikola VucevicB+84.9▲C · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 9 minutes (10 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.10.5
2–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
3
1
19
13
6
12
20
10/2110/2310/2510/2810/3011/111/2
Dashed line: his 10.6 a game this season
Projected line
Min
9
Pts
4.2
Reb
2.8
Ast
1.1
3PM
0.5
Stl
0.1
Blk
0.4
TO
0.5
FG
47%
FT
73%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 9 minutes (10 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
- Hot: 14.0 a game over his last 5, against 10.6 on the season.
Rostered in 39% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
10Goga BitadzeB-75.9C · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 6 minutes (9 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.6.6
0–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
10
11
11
9
0
10/2110/2310/2810/3011/1
Dashed line: his 8.2 a game this season
Projected line
Min
6
Pts
2.4
Reb
1.9
Ast
0.4
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.2
Blk
0.3
TO
0.3
FG
58%
FT
82%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 6 minutes (9 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
11Duop ReathD+24.9C · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 4 minutes (7 a game so far). ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.3.8
0–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
6
-1
12
10
10/2110/2410/2611/4
Dashed line: his 6.8 a game this season
Projected line
Min
4
Pts
1.9
Reb
0.7
Ast
0.2
3PM
0.3
Stl
0.1
Blk
0.1
TO
0.2
FG
50%
FT
87%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 4 minutes (7 a game so far).
- ORL gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- PHX played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
12Colin Castleton17.6C · ORL@PHX· 9:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 2 minutes (6 a game so far). PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.1.5
0–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
13
5
10/2310/28
Dashed line: his 9.0 a game this season
Projected line
Min
2
Pts
0.7
Reb
0.4
Ast
0.1
3PM
0.1
Stl
0.1
Blk
0.0
TO
0.1
FG
50%
FT
75%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 2 minutes (6 a game so far).
- PHX gives up 5% more fantasy points than the average team.
- Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, which leaves more minutes and shots to go around.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
13Nick RichardsF4.5C · MIA@GS· 10:00 PM ETBENCHProjected for 1 minutes (2 a game so far). GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.1.1
0–5 rangeBENCH
Recent form (fantasy points)
7
7
-2
1
10/2110/2310/3011/2
Dashed line: his 3.3 a game this season
Projected line
Min
1
Pts
0.5
Reb
0.4
Ast
0.1
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.0
Blk
0.1
TO
0.1
FG
56%
FT
67%
Game page →
Why we say bench
- Projected for 1 minutes (2 a game so far).
- GS gives up 4% more fantasy points than the average team.
- MIA played last night: second night of a back-to-back, when stars sometimes rest.
Rostered in 0% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
–Kristaps PorzingisC+68.0OUTPF/C · GSvsMIA· 10:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
Min
0
Pts
0.0
Reb
0.0
Ast
0.0
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.0
Blk
0.0
TO
0.0
FG
–
FT
–
Game page →
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 40% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →
–Mark WilliamsB+89.0OUTC · PHXvsORL· 9:00 PM ETOUTOut tonight, so he's projected for nothing.0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form (fantasy points)
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season.
Projected line
Min
0
Pts
0.0
Reb
0.0
Ast
0.0
3PM
0.0
Stl
0.0
Blk
0.0
TO
0.0
FG
–
FT
–
Game page →
Why we say out
- Out tonight, so he's projected for nothing.
Rostered in 6% of ESPN leagues · Full player page →

How we rank

Every player gets a projected stat line for tonight: his minutes (a blend of his season, last 10 and last 3 games, with his team's minutes shared out again when teammates are out), times his per-minute rate for each stat (this season blended with last), adjusted for how much of that stat the opponent gives up and for home court. Points, categories and DraftKings all score that same line.

The verdict comes from where he ranks among tonight's players. "Must start" and "Start" are the players a typical 10-team league starts tonight, "Flex" is a fair streaming play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. Players ESPN lists as out are marked Out; day-to-day players are counted at a 75% chance of playing.

We tested this on the last two full seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season and last-10 averages by 5%. The full test.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Box scores and injury status from ESPN.