Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Nico Collins Or Parker Washington?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.7 vs 9.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Nico Collins (54%).
Nico Collins outscores Parker Washington 54% of the time; Parker Washington 46%.
WR, HOU at LAC
10.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR17 this week · Start
Start. Projected 10.7 points, #17 among WRs this week.
WR, JAX at BAL
9.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–16 · WR19 this week · Start
Start. BAL's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
Side by side
| Nico Collins | Parker Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7 | Projected points | 9.4 |
| 4.3 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.8 |
| 18.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 16.2 |
| LAC -7% | Matchup | BAL +14% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.