Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
MarShawn Lloyd Or Rico Dowdle?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.8 vs 6.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Rico Dowdle (53%).
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Rico Dowdle 47% of the time; Rico Dowdle 53%.
RB, GB at DET
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB34 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 1 points last game against a typical 6.4 (trending down).
RB, PIT at NO
6.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB33 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.3 points, 0.0 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| MarShawn Lloyd | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Projected points | 6.3 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.0 |
| 9.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 10.2 |
| DET -12% | Matchup | NO +14% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.