Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
MarShawn Lloyd Or Pierre Strong?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.8 vs 4.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean MarShawn Lloyd (56%).
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Pierre Strong 56% of the time; Pierre Strong 44%.
RB, GB at DET
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB34 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 1 points last game against a typical 6.4 (trending down).
RB, GB at DET
4.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB36 this week · Bench
Bench. DET's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
Side by side
| MarShawn Lloyd | Pierre Strong | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Projected points | 4.9 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 9.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.0 |
| DET -12% | Matchup | DET -12% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | Medium |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.