Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Justin Herbert Or Ty Simpson?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.5 vs 11.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ty Simpson (54%).
Justin Herbert outscores Ty Simpson 46% of the time; Ty Simpson 54%.
QB, LAC vs HOU
10.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–17 · QB24 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 7.8 points last game against a typical 15.9 (trending down).
QB, LA at WAS
11.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 6–18 · QB22 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 11.6 points, #22 among QBs this week.
Side by side
| Justin Herbert | Ty Simpson | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | Projected points | 11.6 |
| 5.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 6.0 |
| 16.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.3 |
| HOU -7% | Matchup | WAS +20% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.